This market is based on the ten year note and debt obligation issued by the US Treasury. It is often viewed as a way to speculate in or hedge against future interest rate changes and is valued globally as a market to use when trying to manage risk of the same.
One U.S. Treasury note having a face value at maturity of $100,000.
Points ($1,000) and halves of 1/32 of a point. For example, 126-16 represents 126 16/32 and 126-165 represents 126 16.5/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points; minimum tick size is one-half of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point ($15.625, rounded up to the nearest cent per contract), except for intermonth spreads, where the minimum price fluctuation shall be one-quarter of one thirty-second of one point ($7.8125 per contract).
March, June, September, December
Trades open outcry and Globex (electronic) per the following schedule:
Electronic: SUN - FRI: 5:30 p.m. - 4:00 p.m. Central Time
Open Auction: MON - FRI: 7:20 a.m. - 2:00 p.m. Central Time
None as of publishing date, but it is wise to consult the exchange.
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
***chart courtesy Gecko Software
The United States Treasury has been responsible for federal finances for over two hundred years. The means through which it takes on debt are securities sold both domestically and to foreign investors. Treasury notes are issued in terms of 2, 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. Auctions for notes are held every month and a tentative schedule of upcoming auctions may be viewed online.
10 year Treasury notes are considered longer term debt instruments. When discussing Treasury notes, the term “yield” comes into focus regularly. When the note is purchased at par, the yield is equal to the interest rate. Usually, if the price of the note goes down, the yield goes up while a higher price reduces yield.
Yield curves may also be important and are often cited in analysis of economic conditions. These are constructed from the yields for various maturities placed on a graph. A “normal” yield curve is one in which longer-term yields are higher than shorter-term. This is usually ascribed to the perception of higher risk or rising rates for longer term investments. An “inverted” yield curve has the opposite structure, with shorter-term yields higher than longer-term. This may often be associated with falling or anticipated fall in interest rates. Flat yield curves may also be present if a forecast of little difference exists between the yield rates for different maturities.
It is important to note that the futures contract delivery date is not associated with the maturity date of the Treasury note.
Interest rates or the forecasted changes in interest rates can have a profound effect on th futures price of Treasury notes. Daily Treasury yield curve rates are available on the US
Treasury’s official website. Inflation or the possibility of inflation may also influence prices. The commonly watched factors which may affect trade include economic report
or events. These may include the following:
• Retail Sales
• Unemployment Claims
• Personal Income
• PPI
• CPI
During the recent global recessionary period, there has been some discussion about China’s concerns over the safety of their assets in terms of their US holdings. These kin of discussions may also impact futures prices.
Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading and it is not suitable for all investors. Past results are by no means indicative of potential future returns. Fundamental factors, seasonal and weather trends, and current events may have already been factored into the markets.
Copyright: Any copy, reprint, broadcast, or distribution of this report of any kind is prohibited without the expressed written consent of Futures Press, Inc.
Other than speculator participation within this futures market, the 10 year Treasury note contract may also be used for hedging a portfolio of non-US government securities or other interest rate risk. They are also used in trades intended to capitalize on changes in the yield curve.